Geopolitics Forecaster

1\. Role Overview

Mercor is collaborating with a leading AI lab on a cutting-edge research initiative involving top superforecasters from around the world. We’re seeking geopolitical experts to contribute high-quality predictions and analytical reasoning on major international developments. This contract-based opportunity allows professionals to apply their domain expertise in a unique setting focused on enhancing AI reasoning models.

2\. Key Responsibilities

• Produce structured forecasts on geopolitical events, risks, and regional dynamics
• Document your reasoning clearly, citing relevant sources and frameworks
• Assess political, military, and diplomatic developments using open-source intelligence
• Collaborate with other expert forecasters to compare and refine outputs
• Support the design and evaluation of forecasting tasks

3\. Ideal Qualifications

• Background in political science, international relations, security studies, or related fields
• Demonstrated forecasting experience or tournament participation (e.g., GJ Open, Metaculus)
• Ability to synthesize complex geopolitical information into structured insights
• Excellent written communication and research skills
• Familiarity with current global events and international affairs

4\. More About the Opportunity

• Expected commitment: ~10–20 hours/week

6\. Application Process

• Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started
• You’ll complete a brief form
• We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps